Energy & Resources

    Cooking gas tipped to rise 21% to GHS 23.17 a kg, adding GHS 58.54 to a 14.5kg refill

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    Photo: StatsGH chart

    Cooking gas is projected to rise 21.10% to GHS 23.17 a kilogramme from Monday 16 November, according to the Chamber of Oil Marketing Companies (COMAC), as reported by Joy Business and Starr FM on 14 November.

    On StatsGH calculations, that takes a 14.5kg refill from about GHS 277.43 to GHS 335.97, an extra GHS 58.54. A 6kg refill would go from about GHS 114.80 to GHS 139.02, GHS 24.22 more.

    These are projections, not set prices. COMAC itself says actual retail prices depend on each marketing company (Joy Business).

    Buying on credit costs more: COMAC's credit projection is GHS 23.67 a kg (Starr FM), or GHS 343.22 for 14.5kg on StatsGH calculations. Starr FM reports COMAC's projected LPG rise as a range of 21.10% to 24.58%; GHS 23.17 is the low end, for cash purchases.

    Petrol down, gas up

    The same outlook goes the other way for drivers. COMAC projects petrol at GHS 15.62 a litre, down 8.23%, and diesel at GHS 18.15, down 4.42% (Starr FM). Against COMAC's previous cash projection of GHS 17.02 a litre for 1–15 November, 30 litres of petrol would cost about GHS 42.02 less, on StatsGH calculations.

    That is not a saving against today's pump price. Joy Business reports that some marketers have already cut petrol below the new projection, with Star Oil at GHS 15.55 and Allied at GHS 15.50.

    Further cuts from Monday may be smaller, or already in the price. A household that cooks with gas and does not drive simply pays more.

    For a household that gets through one 14.5kg cylinder a month (an illustration, not a survey figure), the projected rise adds about GHS 702 a year, on StatsGH calculations.

    Cost of a refill before and after 16 Nov (COMAC cash projection, StatsGH calculations)
    Before (implied current cash price) From 16 Nov (projected)
    90
    180
    270
    360 0
    +24.22
    114.80
    139.02
    +58.54
    277.43
    335.97
    6kg
    14.5kg

    % change projected for 16–30 Nov

    LPG
    +21.10
    Diesel
    −4.42
    Petrol
    −8.23

    These are industry projections, not set prices. The "before" series is worked back from COMAC's GHS 23.17 and 21.10%. Source: COMAC via Joy Business and Starr FM, 14 Nov 2026; StatsGH calculations.

    Why gas is rising when world gas prices fell

    The timing explains it. COMAC says international LPG prices fell 6.42% in the latest review period (Joy Business, 14 November). But in the review period before that, international LPG rose 21.33%, while COMAC projected only a 0.81% rise in Ghana for 1–15 November (Joy Business, 29 October).

    COMAC now says the higher LPG price reflects "the delayed pass-through of higher international prices from the previous window due to the tender arrangement" (Starr FM). In plain words: the October jump in world gas prices is reaching Ghanaian kitchens two weeks late.

    Floors and the projected pump price

    The National Petroleum Authority's minimum price, or floor, for LPG rises 16.0% to GHS 15.93 a kg from GHS 13.73, as StatsGH reported this morning, citing Joy Business, 3News and Starr FM, all pointing to the NPA.

    A floor is not a pump price: the NPA says it excludes importers' premiums and the margins of distributors and marketing companies. COMAC's projected cash price of GHS 23.17 sits GHS 7.24 a kg above the new floor, on StatsGH calculations. That is why the two sets of figures move by different amounts.

    Petrol's floor falls 11.0%, while COMAC projects an 8.23% fall in the cash pump price. LPG's floor rises 16.0%, while the cash projection is up 21.10%.

    How this compares with inflation

    Headline inflation was 5.5% in October (Ghana Statistical Service, CPI bulletin, 4 November). A projected 21.10% rise in one fortnight is nearly four times that annual rate, on StatsGH calculations.

    In the GSS index, the division that contains gas, "Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels", was 10.5% higher in October than a year earlier (10.455% unrounded) and up only 0.06% on the month (StatsGH calculations from GSS COICOP Annex 2 indices). That division carries a 10.2% weight in the basket.

    The figure is for the whole housing group, not for gas alone. The November CPI, due from GSS in the first week of December according to its release calendar, will be the first to capture any rise.

    The catch

    None of this is final until the companies post their prices. The NPA floors were not on the NPA's own website when 3News checked on Saturday, and StatsGH's own fetch of the NPA price-floor page at 15:44 GMT on 14 November showed no November window either. We also found no reliable published average of current LPG pump prices: the Pumply tracker lists LPG as "unavailable" for this window.

    The starting price of about GHS 19.13 a kg used above is a StatsGH calculation, worked back from COMAC's GHS 23.17 and 21.10%. One cost does not move with the price: the Energy Sector Shortfall and Debt Repayment Levy on LPG is a fixed GHS 0.73 a kg (Ministry of Finance, 2025 tax revenue report), or about GHS 10.59 on a 14.5kg refill.

    Sources

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    Numbers behind the story +

    Figures used

    • COMAC projected cash price of LPG from 16 November: GHS 23.17 a kg (Up 21.10% on the cash projection, as reported by Joy Business and Starr FM; a projection, not a set price)
    • Extra cost of a 14.5kg refill, StatsGH calculation: GHS 58.54 (From about GHS 277.43 to GHS 335.97, worked from COMAC's GHS 23.17 and 21.10%)
    • Projected extra for one 14.5kg cylinder, annualised illustration: GHS 702 a year (StatsGH illustration, not a survey figure, of twelve 14.5kg refills at the unrounded extra of about GHS 58.54)

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